Odds To Win Nascar Atlanta
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Including five of those races in the top 6. He had the car to win Bristol last week but couldn’t get it done. Can he get his first win at Atlanta since 2013? Former NASCAR Cup Champion Martin Truex Jr. Is another driver that has been very close to victory over the last 9 years. He has finished in the top 5 at this track 4 times since 2013. NASCAR Best Bets. Pennzoil 400 Predictions. Cup Series heads to Vegas on Sunday. Preview, Analysis & Top-5 Finish Picks. Pennzoil 400 Odds to Win Top 5 Finish Predictions Pennzoil 400 Predictions 2021 F1 Futures Betting Odds PrizePicks Bonus - Sign Up Today! Bet365 Bonus Code Offer - Sign Up!
© Provided by Sporting NewsThe odds for Sunday's NASCAR Cup Series race at Atlanta are influenced heavily by what Kevin Harvick has done at the 1.5-mile oval in Hampton, Ga., throughout his career, especially recently. Our picks for Sunday's race are impacted by the same trends.
Vegas Odds To Win Nascar Championship
Nobody in Sunday's field has led more career laps at Atlanta in the Cup Series than Harvick (1,197 in 29 starts), and the winner of this race in 2018 is tied with Jimmie Johnson for the best career driver rating (100.5) at the track.
MORE: Full starting lineup for NASCAR race at Atlanta
Combine those numbers with the fact that Harvick is the NASCAR Cup Series points leader in 2020 with a series-best five top-five finishes and eight top-10s, including one win, and it's easy to see why sportsbooks consider the No. 4 Stewart-Haas racing team the favorite for Sunday's race at Atlanta.
Below are the Vegas odds to win Sunday's NASCAR Cup Series at Atlanta, plus our top three picks of drivers who could end up taking the checkered flag.
NASCAR race odds to win at Atlanta
While Harvick tends to run well at Atlanta, so does Chase Elliott, who will start Sunday's race from the pole based on the results of a random draw for starting positions.
Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, below are the complete odds to win Sunday's NASCAR Cup Series race at Atlanta, starting with Harvick and Elliott.
Driver | Odds to win Atlanta race |
Kevin Harvick | +430 |
Chase Elliott | +600 |
Kyle Busch | +700 |
Alex Bowman | +850 |
Joey Logano | +900 |
Brad Keselowski | +1000 |
Martin Truex Jr. | +1000 |
Denny Hamlin | +1200 |
Kurt Busch | +1800 |
Ryan Blaney | +1800 |
Jimmie Johnson | +2000 |
Clint Bowyer | +2800 |
Erik Jones | +2800 |
William Byron | +3200 |
Matt DiBenedetto | +4200 |
Aric Almirola | +5000 |
Matt Kenseth | +5000 |
Tyler Reddick | +5000 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +7000 |
Austin Dillon | +7500 |
Ryan Newman | +7500 |
Christopher Bell | +14000 |
Cole Custer | +14000 |
John Hunter Nemechek | +14000 |
Chris Buescher | +18000 |
BJ McLeod | +20000 |
Brennan Poole | +20000 |
Bubba Wallace | +20000 |
Corey LaJoie | +20000 |
Daniel Suarez | +20000 |
Garrett Smithley | +20000 |
Gray Gaulding | +20000 |
JJ Yeley | +20000 |
Joey Gase | +20000 |
Michael McDowell | +20000 |
Ty Dillon | +20000 |
Ryan Preece | +20000 |
Timmy Hill | +20000 |
Kyle Busch comes in with the third best odds to win Sunday's race in part because his Joe Gibbs Racing team is finding the speed it was missing through the first few races of the season. However, based on career driver ratings, he isn't even the best Atlanta racer in his own family.
Below are the top 10 career driver ratings at Atlanta among those in Sunday's field:
- Kevin Harvick, 100.5
- Jimmie Johnson, 100.5
- Matt Kenseth, 97.5
- Kurt Busch, 96.9
- Brad Keselowski, 96.6
- Martin Truex Jr., 95.2
- Denny Hamlin, 94.2
- Kyle Busch, 92.7
- Chase Elliott, 89.2
- Joey Logano, 83.2
As noted, Elliott will roll off first Sunday, which is generally helpful at Atlanta. Fourteen of the 113 Cup Series races at Atlanta saw the pole winner take the checkered flag.
For whatever reason, the most proficient starting position in the field at Atlanta is fifth, which has produced more wins (16) than any other starting position. Clint Bowyer has that starting spot for Sunday's race.
Below is the breakdown of wins from varying starting positions in the history of Cup racing at Atlanta.
Starting position | Winning % | Wins |
1st | 12.5 percent | 14 |
Front row | 23.21 percent | 26 |
Top 5 | 55.36 percent | 62 |
Top 10 | 77.68 percent | 87 |
Outside Top 20 | 7.14 percent | 8 |
The top 10 starters for Sunday's race at Atlanta are as follows: 1. Chase Elliott, 2. Aric Almirola, 3. Joey Logano, 4. Kyle Busch, 5. Clint Bowyer, 6. Brad Keselowski, 7. Ryan Blaney, 8. Alex Bowman, 9. Kevin Harvick, 10. Denny Hamlin
MORE: Updated NASCAR schedule for 2020
NASCAR at Atlanta expert picks
1. Jimmie Johnson
Career stats at Atlanta:
- Five wins, 14 top fives, 16 top 10s
- Average finish of 11.571 (fourth-best)
- Average running position of 10.467 (second-best)
- Driver rating of 100.5 (tied with Harvick for best)
- 362 fastest laps run (second-best)
- 5,131 laps in top 15 (74.7 percent) (second-most)
- 743 quality passes (third-most)
The driver who has gone 104 Cup Series races without a victory has five career wins at Atlanta, the most of any driver in Sunday's field. More importantly, Hendrick Motorsports has shown adequate speed this season, and Johnson himself has four top-10 finishes.
Given HMS' speed and Johnson's positive vibes at this particular track, his ranking 11th in the odds to win Sunday's race is a solid value.
2. Kurt Busch
Career stats at Atlanta:
- Three wins, seven top fives, 14 top 10s
- Average finish of 12.850 (fifth-best)
- Average running position of 12.802 (eighth-best)
- Driver rating of 96.9 (fourth-best)
- 299 fastest laps run (fourth-best)
- 4,444 laps in top 15 (67.9 percent) (fifth-most)
- 764 quality passes (second-most)
Busch loves this track, and given his numbers, we can't blame him. The No. 1 Chip Ganassi Racing team has been fast this season, as evidenced by its six top-10 finishes in nine races. Busch will start Sunday's race 12th, plenty high enough for him to contend for his first win of the season.
3. Kevin Harvick
Career stats at Atlanta:
- Two wins, eight top fives, 14 top 10s
- Average finish of 13.476 (seventh-best)
- Average running position of 11.809 (fifth-best)
- Driver rating of 100.5 (tied with Johnson for best)
- 555 fastest laps run (series-best)
- 4,643 laps in top 15 (67.6 percent) (third-most)
- 658 quality passes (fifth-most)
We have to go chalk with this last pick, because Harvick and his team are simply too good at Atlanta to leave off the list. (For what it's worth, Brad Keselowski is another great pick at Atlanta, but we're betting against the continuation of his hot streak.)
Harvick's 14 career top-10 finishes at Atlanta include 11 in the last 13 races. He also has led an unmatched 960 laps in the last six Atlanta races alone, including 181 in his 2018 win and 292 of the 325 laps in his 2017 ninth-place run.
© Provided by CBS SportsMay 20, 2020, Darlington, SC, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Busch (18) during the Toyota 500. Mandatory Credit: Brynn Anderson/Pool Photo via USA TODAY Network
The 2021 Daytona 500 will kick off a new NASCAR season on Sunday, when 40 drivers will try to make history with a win at the 63rd running of The Great American Race. Chase Elliott is only 25 years old, but he's made the NASCAR playoffs in each of his first five seasons, won 11 times in the last three years, and is coming off his first Cup championship. Now, he'll try to add a Daytona 500 crown to an already impressive resume when the green flag drops on NASCAR at Daytona 2021 at 2:30 p.m. ET.
Elliott is 12th in the 2021 Daytona 500 starting lineup and listed at 10-1 in the 2021 Daytona 500 odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Two-time defending Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin will have a little more work to do since he's starting in 25th, but his superspeedway prowess means he's the 17-2 favorite in the 2021 NASCAR at Daytona odds. Before you scour the 2021 Daytona 500 starting lineup and make your NASCAR at Daytona predictions for the Great American Race, be sure to see the latest 2021 Daytona 500 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.
At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, his model simulated the 2021 NASCAR at Daytona race 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected leaderboard for the 2021 Daytona 500.
Top 2021 Daytona 500 predictions
One surprise: the model is high on Aric Almirola, even though he's a 16-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Daytona odds 2021 from William Hill. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Almirola's confidence should be soaring after a win in the first 2021 Bluegreen Vacations Duel at Daytona, which resulted in a second-row starting spot with inside position.
The 36-year-old has made the playoffs the last three seasons, while superspeedways have been the site of both of his NASCAR Cup Series victories. Almirola won the 2018 1000bulbs.com 500 at Talladega and the 2014 Coke Zero 400 at Daytona. Stewart-Haas Racing also has Kevin Harvick starting inside the top 10 (eighth), so look for Almirola and Harvick to link up early and climb the 2021 Daytona 500 leaderboard.
And a massive shocker: Chase Elliott, one of the top Vegas favorites at 10-1, stumbles big-time and doesn't even crack the top five. There are far better values in this loaded 2021 Daytona 500 lineup. The 2020 NASCAR Cup Series champion is 12th in the 2021 Daytona 500 starting grid.
Elliott finished second at Daytona last August, but that was his first career top-10 finish in 10 starts at the track. In fact, he'd never finished higher than 14th at this iconic venue, and he's finished 17th or worse in his last three Daytona 500s. His low odds, combined with his lack of success at Daytona, make him one of the drivers to fade at the Daytona 500 2021.
How to make 2021 NASCAR at Daytona picks
The model is also targeting three other drivers with NASCAR at Daytona odds of 13-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all the NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
2021 Nascar Odds To Win Championship
So who wins the 2021 Daytona 500? And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest 2021 Daytona 500 odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2021 Daytona 500 leaderboard, all from the model that nailed Hamlin's win last season.
2021 Daytona 500 odds
Denny Hamlin 17-2
Chase Elliott 10-1
Joey Logano 11-1
Kyle Larson 11-1
Ryan Blaney 11-1
Brad Keselowski 12-1
William Byron 13-1
Video: NASCAR drivers return for 63rd Daytona 500 (NBC Sports)
Kevin Harvick 13-1
Alex Bowman 13-1
Kyle Busch 14-1
Martin Truex Jr. 15-1
Aric Almirola 16-1
Kurt Busch 22-1
Bubba Wallace 22-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 25-1
Christopher Bell 28-1
Austin Dillon 30-1
Odds To Win Nascar Today
Ross Chastain 35-1
Matt DiBenedetto 35-1
Ryan Newman 40-1
Nascar Odds To Win This Weekend
Tyler Reddick 55-1
Cole Custer 60-1
Austin Cindric 60-1
Jamie McMurray 60-1
Erik Jones 60-1
Chris Buescher 65-1
Chase Briscoe 70-1
Daniel Suarez 100-1
Michael McDowell 100-1
David Ragan 125-1
Corey Lajoie 125-1
Ryan Preece 200-1
Anthony Alfredo 250-1
Kaz Grala 250-1
Odds To Win Nascar Race In Atlanta
BJ McLeod 1000-1
Nascar Odds Today
Cody Ware 1000-1
Quin Houff 1000-1
Joey Gase 1000-1
Josh Bilicki 1000-1
Odds To Win Atlanta Nascar Race
Derrike Cope 2000-1