Top Golf Betting Tips
That is incredible golf tipping! Furthermore, our top 9 golf tipsters are showing a profit of over 30 points! Some with strike rates of over 20% and a return on investment (ROI) of over 35% amongst those, these are good golf tipsters consistently providing free golf betting tips. You can browse the golf tournament tips this week to see the. The vast majority of any golf field will go off at over 101.0 due to the strength of the top of the market. Be aware that a golfer can go from one week to being priced as a 'no-hoper' to being bracketed as one of the favourites the next. Just one good finish can see a golfer go from being a 201.0 outsider, to a 34.0 shot the week after. These golf betting tips will self-destruct in 10 seconds. Pat and David reveal the strategies they consider week after week, presented by PointsBet.Subscribe.
For beginners who are looking to learn how to bet on golf, you’ve come to the right place to learn. Sportsgrid will walk you through all of the basics required to bet on golf. Golf betting provides a lot of entertainment value for even the most casual bettor as you get to sweat your bets over the full four-day tournament. Golf also offers several different betting market types that may be foreign to the new sports bettor. Below is a quick overview of how to bet on golf within each market type.
Outright Betting
Outright betting is the simplest way to learn how to bet on golf as the sports bettor simply predicts who will win the golf tournament and makes a bet on that outcome. If the golfer you’ve bet on wins the tournament, you’ll be paid out on their bet and if the golfer loses the tournament you’ll lose your wager. Golf outright betting typically offers longshot odds with the biggest favorites often still offering 8-1 (+800) or better odds and some longshot golfers paying as much as 500-1 (+50000).
Place Betting (Top 5 / Top 10 / Top 20)
Place betting allows individuals to bet on a golfer finishing within the Top 5, Top 10, or Top 20 of a given event. With place betting, the odds offered on a golfer are often lower which reflects the fact that it is a more likely outcome. Unlike outright betting, place betting can sometimes result in ties where 12 golfers finish Top 10 or better for example. Here it is important to understand whether the sportsbook provides dead heat rules. With dead heat rules, the stake is divided proportionately by the number of golfers that are tied. For example, if two golfers tied for a single bet type, the bet would return half of what it does otherwise.
PGA Matchups Betting
PGA matchups betting allows for sports bettors to bet on who will win an individual matchup between two different golfers. Sportsbooks typically offer these markets as either single round or full event bets. In single round betting, you are betting for a golfer to win the matchup during that round, while the full event is over the course of all 72-holes. In a 72-hole match the winner will be whoever shoots the best score relative to par and if both golfers miss the cut, whoever shot the lower score will still win. PGA matchups betting is typically done as a moneyline bet or with a stroke handicap as the spread.
Tournament Matchup Example
Golfer | Moneyline | Spread |
Dustin Johnson | -160 | -2.5 (-115) |
Tiger Woods | +140 | +2.5 (-115) |
Single Round Matchup Example
Golfer | Moneyline | Spread |
Dustin Johnson | -140 | -0.5 (+150) |
Tiger Woods | +120 | +0.5 (-170) |
In this example, Dustin Johnson is a favorite in both betting markets but in a single round matchup he will be a smaller favorite than he would be over the course of a tournament matchup.
PGA Three Ball Betting
PGA Three Ball betting allows a sports bettor to predict the winner of a matchup including three separate golfers, either at a single round or over the course of the event. If two golfers tie in the matchup than the sportsbook would split the payout based on dead heat rules.
Golfer | Moneyline |
Webb Simpson | +180 |
Adam Scott | +160 |
Matt Kuchar | +180 |
Sports bettors should be attention to the odds offered in a 3 Ball matchup to ensure that they are getting a fair price. In this example, if three separate bettors each played a $100 wager on the three golfers, the sportsbook would collect $300 and pay out either $260 or $280. This would give the sportsbook a margin of anywhere from 6.6 percent to 13.3 percent. Bettors should always look to bet 3 Ball matchups that have lower sportsbook margins and return more to the bettors.
First Round Leader Betting
Many sportsbooks also offer bettors the ability to bet on first round leader markets. This bet type allows you to simply bet who will be winning after the opening day. A single round of golf has a lot more variance to it, so while first round leader markets usually price golfers in the same order as outright betting markets, they often will adjust the prices to offer slightly lower payouts for the worse golfers and slightly higher payouts for the better golfers. Because the prices mirror outright betting markets so closely there are some interesting research angles that bettors can explore:
Weather. The weather (in particular wind or extreme temperature) can create an advantage for golfers who tee off at different points in the day.
Course. Some tournaments feature a rotation of courses and there may be golfers who are playing an easier course during the first round that hasn’t been priced into the betting market.
Volatility. Some golfers may have similar odds to win an event but feature more volatility, making one more likely to shoot the lowest score during a single round of golf.
First-round leader betting creates the same exciting payouts as outright betting but is paid out after just one day of play.
Props and Group Betting
Sportsbooks also offer some more exotic props and group betting, particularly for the majors. Some of these props could include winning score, margin of victory, lowest amateur or the odds of finishing first out of a golfer’s countrymen. Props typically have a high degree of “vig” or “juice” resulting in higher margins for the sportsbook but can still offer some edge for potential bettors.
Points Betting on Golf
With the increased coverage and legalization of sports betting, we also wanted to use this space to highlight some new and innovative concepts. One of these companies isPointsBet, an Australian bookmaker that has entered the New Jersey market.PointsBet offers a unique betting type called points betting, where a bettor is rewarded (or penalized) based on how right (or wrong) they are. With PointsBetting your sweat never stops and you are rewarded based on how much your selected bet varies from the posted totals. PointsBet offers a few unique market types: Finishing Position (FP), Wire to Wire (WTW), and Leaderboard (LB).
Wire-to-Wire Leaderboard: A prediction on how well this player will perform at the end of each round. Points are cumulative for the whole tournament. For example, if a player leads from start to finish the make-up would be (20+40+60+100)= 220pts. The points are awarded as follows: 1st Rd: 1st=20, 2nd=10, 3rd=5; 2nd Rd: 1st=40, 2nd=20, 3rd=10, 4th=5; 3rd Rd: 1st=60, 2nd=40, 3rd=20, 4th=10, 5th=5; 4th Rd: Winner=100, 2nd=60, 3rd=40, 4th=20, 5th= 10, 6th=5.
Leaderboard: A prediction on how well this player will perform in the tournament. The points are awarded as follows. 1st = 60 points, 2nd = 40 points, 3rd = 30 points, 4th = 25 points, 5th = 20 points, 6th = 15 points, 7th = 10 points, 8th = 5 points, All others = 0 pts.
Finish Position: Bet OVER or UNDER on finishing positions. For example, you can bet that a golfer finishes better (UNDER) than 28th or worse (OVER) than 31st. In this bet type, a $1 bet on the OVER 31st could win up to $39 if he missed the cut and lose up to $30 if he were to win.
For more information on check out our article on how to bet on sports and learn about sportsbook vig, where to bet, how much to bet, line moves, shopping for the best line, and expected value (or EV).
The PGA Tour remains in Hawaii for this week’s Sony Open at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii. This will be the first full-field event of 2021 following Harris English‘s victory at the exclusive Sentry Tournament of Champions. Below, we look at the 2021 Sony Open betting odds, and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions to win.
The Tour shifts back to La Quinta, California, for next week’s The American Express.
Also see:
2021 Sony Open Fantasy Golf Power Rankings2021 Sony Open prop bets2021 Sony Open betting picks – Favorite
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:06 p.m. ET.
Sungjae Im (+1800)
Im comes off a T-5 finish last week in which he led the field with 2.38 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green per round, according to Data Golf. He also gained 1.28 strokes per round on approach but was undone by his 0.81 strokes lost per round on the greens. It was his debut at the Plantation Course at Kapalua, Hawaii, following his first PGA Tour win last year.
He has played eight career rounds at Waialae CC with an average of 1.51 strokes gained per round to rank fourth in this field. He finished 16th in 2019 and 21st last year.
Im needs to be just a little closer to average with the putter at a course where he has played well before. He averaged 0.84 SG: Putting per round last year.
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2021 Sony Open betting picks – Contender
Marc Leishman (+6000)
Leishman tied for 24th in last week’s condensed 42-man field despite losing 1.27 strokes per round on the greens. He returns to Waialae with an average of 1.45 strokes gained per round on the field over 44 career rounds. He finished third in 2019, was third in last year’s field with 2.18 SG: Tee-to-Green per round and has never missed the cut in this event.
Over the last few years, he has played his best golf in these early-season events. He has seven top-10 results between January and March over the last three years.
2021 Sony Open betting picks – Long shot
Oddschecker Golf Tips
Tom Hoge (+10000)
Hoge begins his 2021 golf season 80th in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings after ending his 2020 schedule with a T-3 at the Mayakoba Golf Classic. He’ll play this event for a fourth consecutive year with a top finish of third in 2018.
He tied for 12th last year with 1.28 SG: Putting and 0.97 SG: Approach per round, and he finished alone in third in 2018 with 2.27 SG: Tee-to-Green per round.
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